Let Bi (i = 1, 2, 3) be three independent events in a sample space. The probability that only B1 occur is $\alpha$, only B2 occurs is $\beta$ and only B3 occurs is $\gamma$. Let p be the probability that none of the events Bi occurs and these 4 probabilities satisfy the equations $\left( {\alpha - 2\beta } \right)p = \alpha \beta$ and $\left( {\beta - 3\gamma } \right)p = 2\beta \gamma$ (All the probabilities are assumed to lie in the interval (0, 1)).
Then ${{P\left( {{B_1}} \right)} \over {P\left( {{B_3}} \right)}}$ is equal to ________.
Answer (integer)
6
Solution
Let x, y, z be probability of B<sub>1</sub>, B<sub>2</sub>, B<sub>3</sub> respectively
<br><br>$\alpha$ = P(B<sub>1</sub> $\cap$ $\overline {{B_2}} \cap \overline {{B_3}}$) = $$P\left( {{B_1}} \right)P\left( {\overline {{B_2}} } \right)P\left( {\overline {{B_3}} } \right)$$
<br><br>$\Rightarrow$ x(1 $-$ y)(1 $-$ z) = $\alpha$<br><br>Similarly, y(1 $-$ x)(1 $-$ z) = $\beta$<br><br> z(1 $-$ x)(1 $-$ y) = $\gamma$<br><br>and (1 $-$ x)(1 $-$ y)(1 $-$ z) = p<br><br>($\alpha$ $-$ 2$\beta$)p = $\alpha$$\beta$<br><br>(x(1 $-$ y)(1 $-$ z) $-$2y(1 $-$ x)(1 $-$ z)) (1 $-$ x)(1 $-$ y)(1 $-$ z) = xy(1 $-$ x)(1 $-$ y)(1 $-$ z)<br><br>x $-$ xy $-$ 2y + 2xy = xy<br><br>x = 2y ...... (1)<br><br>Similarly ($\beta$ $-$ 3$\gamma$)p = 2$\beta$$\gamma$<br><br>$\Rightarrow$ y = 3z .... (2)<br><br>From (1) & (2)<br><br>x = 6z<br><br>Now <br><br>${x \over z} = 6$
About this question
Subject: Mathematics · Chapter: Probability · Topic: Classical and Axiomatic Probability
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