If A and B are two events such that $P(A) = 0.7$, $P(B) = 0.4$ and $P(A \cap \overline{B}) = 0.5$, where $\overline{B}$ denotes the complement of B, then $P\left(B \mid (A \cup \overline{B})\right)$ is equal to
Solution
<p>$$\begin{aligned}
& \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A})=\frac{7}{10}, \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~B})=\frac{4}{10} \\
& \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A} \cup \overline{\mathrm{~B}})=\frac{5}{10} \\
& \mathrm{P}\left(\frac{\mathrm{~B}}{\mathrm{~A} \cup \overline{\mathrm{~B}}}\right)=\frac{\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~B} \cap(\mathrm{~A} \cup \overline{\mathrm{~B}}))}{\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A} \cup \overline{\mathrm{~B}})} \\
& =\frac{\mathrm{P}((\mathrm{~B} \cap \overline{\mathrm{~B}}) \cup(\mathrm{B} \cap \mathrm{~A}))}{\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A} \cup \overline{\mathrm{~B}})}=\frac{\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A} \cap \mathrm{~B})}{\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A} \cup \overline{\mathrm{~B}})}
\end{aligned}$$</p>
<p>$$\begin{aligned}
& =\frac{\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A})-\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A} \cap \overline{\mathrm{~B}})}{\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A})+\mathrm{P}(\overline{\mathrm{~B}})-\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{~A} \cap \overline{\mathrm{~B}})}=\frac{\frac{7}{10}-\frac{5}{10}}{\frac{7}{10}+\left(1-\frac{4}{10}\right)-\frac{5}{10}} \\
& =\frac{2}{8}=\frac{1}{4}
\end{aligned}$$</p>
About this question
Subject: Mathematics · Chapter: Probability · Topic: Classical and Axiomatic Probability
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